Everyone is fading Denver after their 12-game winning streak, but the data says...

https://simonvsaz605.almoheet-travel.com/the-1-1-trap-a-tactical-guide-to-betting-nba-playoff-series-after-the-split

Everyone is fading Denver after their 12-game winning streak, but the data says otherwise. I have the Nuggets at -145 to advance. I am digging into rotation shifts and real value for the series